本文把中国的城乡收入差距纳入制度经济学的分析框架,考察其变化的几个临界点。1978年的城乡收入差距水平,打破了传统城乡关系政策赖以存在的制度均衡,导致农村经济改革。在改革期间,城市居民运用其特有的“投票”和“呼声”机制,影响着城乡关系政策,阻碍农村劳动力的永久转移,继续维系着城市偏向政策。然而,农民仍然可以通过“退出”机制即“用脚投票”,最终推动城市偏向政策的改变。当城乡收入差距回复到改革之初的水平时,制度变革的条件将成熟,导致户籍制度及其相关政策的改革。
<<>By employing an analytical framework based on institutional economics,this paper intends to investigate the rural urban income gap and its critical points for change. The level of rural urban income gap in 1978 broke the institutional equilibrium on which the traditional rural urban relationship relied,leading to overall reform in rural China. In the post-reform period,utilizing their superior influence on policy-making,urban residents have so far succeeded in maintaining urban biased government policies,deterring rural labor from migrating to cities permanently. The urban residents’ major lobbying mechanism is through their “vote” and “voice,” something in which their rural counterparts are lacking. However,farmers have a way to “get around” the urban biased policies which are unfavorable to them. This “voting with their feet” eventually will drive the policy change. When the rural urban income gap increases to the level of 1978,a critical point for institutional change will have been reached. The timing and conditions will be ripe for reform of the whole policy package on which the present rural urban divide has been built.
<<Keywords: | Institutional ChangeUrban-rural Income GapInstitutional EquilibriumUrban-Rural Relations Reform |