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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    中国城镇化发展状况与演进趋势

    摘要

    本文从城镇人口的增长变动、城镇化速度的差异、人口流动的分布格局、城市基本建设等四个方面,分析了“十二五”以来中国城镇化的进展状况,并对“十三五”时期城镇化的发展趋势进行了展望。在“十二五”时期,全国人口城镇化和城市建设水平继续快速提高,但较之“十一五”时期,城镇人口增长规模、城镇化速度、市政建设固定资产投资增速等均有所下降。其中,东部地区城镇化速度趋缓,市政建设投资规模下降,而中西部地区城镇化则呈加速之势,市政建设投资大幅度提高。展望未来,“十三五”时期全国人口城镇化的速度将会继续有所放缓,而城镇化水平的地区差距将进一步缩小,同时城镇化的转型发展将更加迫切。

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    Abstract

    This article would analyze China’s urbanization development in the 12th Five-Year Plan and predict its development trend in the 13th Five-Year Plan from the four aspects:urban population growth change,urbanization speed difference,population flow distribution pattern and city capital construction. During the 12th Five-Year Plan,national population urbanization and city construction continue to rise rapidly. However,compared the economic development in the 11th Five-year period,the growth speed of urban population growth,urbanization and municipal fixed asset investment has declined. In eastern regions,the urbanization speed is slower and the municipal construction investment scale is shrinking,whereas in central and western regions,the urbanization is accelerating and construction investment scale is expanding substantially. Looking into the future,in the 13th Five-Year Plan,the national population urbanization speed will continue to slow,and the regional disparity in urbanization level will further narrow down. At the same time,the transformation development of urbanization will grow more urgent.

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    作者简介
    盛广耀:盛广耀,中国社会科学院城市发展与环境研究所副研究员,研究方向为城市与区域发展。
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