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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    China’s Economic Transformation an...

    摘要

    Duringthetransitionfromindustrializationtourbanization,Chineseeconomyisfacedwiththemarketofvertical&horizontalfragmentationandshortageofhumancapitalcausedbytheinstitutionalfactors,whichbecomethemainobstaclesconstrainingitssustainablegrowth。Astheyear2015and13thFive-YearPlangettingcriticalforChina’s“newnormal”andnewtransformation,amainshockoftheChineseeconomyisontheway,whichisrootedinthestructuralslowdowntoitsgrowthbythereductionoflaborsupply,thedeclineininvestmentgrowth,thediminishmentof“LearninginDoing”effectandthechangeofdemandstructure。ThegrowthrateoftheChineseeconomyin2015isexpectedtobe6。9%,whilethatduringtheperiodof13thFive-YearPlancouldonlymaintain6%inthecasethatthecontributionrateoftechnicalprogressis30%。ThetoppriorityforthesustainablegrowthofChineseeconomyhasturnedouttobetheTotalFactorProductivity(TFP),withparticularemphasisoneffectivelyimprovingtheproductivityinthewesternandmiddleregionsofChina。Therefore,themainmethodstoachievetransformationofgrowthmodedependonsystemimprovementandhumancapitaltraining。

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    作者简介
    Research Group for the Frontiers of China’s Economic Growth:This report was written by Zhang Ping,Yuan Fuhua,Zhang Ziran and Liu Xiahui. Participants of discussion support are as following:Pei Changhong,Zhang Liancheng,Wang Hongmiao,Wu Yanbing,Zhao Zhijun,Zhong Jiyin,Huang Zhigang,Chen Changbing,Zhang Lei,Zhang Xiaojing,Changxin,Tian Xinmin,Wang Hongju,Tang Duoduo,Li Cheng,Guo Lu,Wang Jia,Zhang Xiaoxi,Zhang Peng,Lu Mingtao,Xin Chao,Li Fangfang and Zhao Yang.
    Teng Jilin:
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