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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2012年中国投资发展回顾及2013年展望

    摘要

    受外需下降以及我国稳增长政策的影响,2012年我国投资市场规模平稳增长,但结构进一步分化。债券发行量激增,股票走出阶段性行情;信托、银行理财增长迅猛;房地产销量出现反弹;私募股权降温,公募基金实现正收益。展望2013年,由于经济逐渐回暖,投资市场规模将会进一步增长。证券市场继续上升的概率较大;房地产投资相对稳定,价格继续上升;银行理财收益率预计不会发生太大变化,信托仍是投资者的重要选择;私募股权投资市场热度继续下降。 <<
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    关键词: 中国2012投资市场

    Abstract

    Influenced by the shrinking of external demands and economic policy to maintain steady growth, the size of the financial market in China grew steadily in 2012 but the internal differentiation was significant.The size of bond issue increased sharply. The stock market fluctuation continued but outperformed better than 2011. The trust products and bank financial products were still heated.House sales volume shot up and price rose again. The private equity market slowed down while the mutual fund made a positive return as a whole. Looking ahead,in 2013, as the macroeconomic environment has been improving, the expansion of the financial market will continue at a faster rate. The probability that the stock market rises is large.Housing sales volume may maintain at a high level and the price continues to go up. We estimate that financial products launched by banks and trust products will remain attractive to investors, and the private equity market will cool down. <<
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    作者简介
    中国建银投资有限责任公司研究中心课题组:本课题组由中国建银投资有限责任公司研究中心张志前、高文志、涂俊、祝妍雯、高彦如组成
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