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谢伏瞻
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    中国公共文化投入的应有增长空间——2012年相关协调性、均衡性检测

    摘要

    2000~2012年,全国文化投入总量由300。29亿元增至2268。35亿元,年均增长18。35%。文化投入增长明显高于产值增长,但较明显低于财政收入增长,也略微低于财政支出增长;同时明显低于教育投入增长,也极显著低于科技投入增长,亦显著低于卫生投入增长。文化投入占财政收入比明显低于文化消费占居民收入比,公共文化投入增长滞后于居民文化消费态势所体现的需求变动。测算2012年全国文化投入“增长空间”,如果实现产值→财政支出→教科文卫投入→文化投入历年各项最佳比值“应然增长”,应达到4057。13亿元;进一步实现文化投入与消费同构占比平衡“民生增长”,应达到6276。99亿元;最后实现文化投入均等化“理想增长”,应达到9342。31亿元。 <<
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    Abstract

    In 2000~2012,countrywide total investment into public culture increased from 30.029 billion yuan to 226.835 billion yuan,with a remarkably average annual growth of 18.35%. The cultural investment growth is evidently higher than GDP growth,but certainly lower than the fiscal revenue growth,and also slightly lower than the fiscal expenditure growth;At the same time,evidently lower than education investment growth,and also significantly lower science & technology investment growth,as well as remarkably lower health investment growth. The ratio of culture investment to fiscal revenues is evidently lower than that of the cultural consumption to the residents’ income. Public cultural investment growth lags behind the demand changes of the residents’ cultural consumption. To measuring the “growth space” of countrywide culture investment in 2012:if it should get the ought-to-be growth at the best ratio over the years in terms of the productive value,the fiscal expenditure,the E.S.C.H. investment and the culture investment,it would reach 405.713 billion yuan;if the balanced isomorphism proportion of culture investment and consumption should come true,it would reach 627.699 billion yuan;if the ideal growth of the equal culture investment should realize,it would reach 934.231 billion yuan. <<
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    作者简介
    王亚南:王亚南,云南省社科院研究员,文化研究中心主任,中国文化消费需求景气评价中心首席科学家,《中国文化消费需求景气评价报告》及《中国文化产业供需协调检测报告》、《中国公共文化投入增长测评报告》主编,主要从事文化理论、文化战略和文化产业研究。
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