您好,欢迎来到皮书数据库!
热点推荐: 双循环
更多>> 课题组动态
更多>> 皮书作者
谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    中国外贸发展大趋势

    摘要

    近年我国外贸形势呈现如下特点:进出口总体增速回落,贸易结构不断优化,贸易方式持续改善,贸易主体格局更趋合理,贸易伙伴多元化,中西部地区外贸快速增长。在新的全球贸易测算法下,我国与主要贸易伙伴的贸易差额被重新计算,结果显示,现行统计数据对差额存在夸大,贸易不平衡被过分炒作,因而我们呼吁贸易摩擦也该“停战”了。2013年,全球经济发展环境将有所改善,弱势增长将转变为温和增长。我国外贸发展面临的外部环境将好于2012年,预计2013年我国进出口贸易将增长10%~15%。 <<
    >>

    Abstract

    In recent years, China's foreign trade situation shows the following characteristics: the overall growth rate of import and export trade has declined, the trade structure has been optimized continuously, the trade pattern keeps improving, the main body of trade becomes more reasonable, trading partners are diversified, and the foreign trade in the midwest China grows quickly. In the new global trade measurement system, the trade balances between China and its major trading partners are recalculated, and the results show that the existing statistical data has exaggerated the balances. The trade imbalances have been overstated and the trade frictions should be ended. In 2013, the global economic situation will be improved and weak growth will turn into moderate growth. The external environment that China's foreign trade facing will be better than 2012. Preliminary estimates suggest that China's foreign trade should grow by 10%~15% in 2013. <<
    >>
    作者简介
    刘建颖:供职于商务部研究院对外贸易研究部。
    金柏松:教授,供职于商务部研究院研究员。
    <<
    >>
    相关报告