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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
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    2012~2013年中原经济区经济形势分析与展望

    摘要

    2012年是宏观经济环境错综复杂的一年。一方面外部环境趋紧、区域竞争激烈、困难挑战增多,发展形势严峻;另一方面,《中原经济区规划》得到国务院正式批复。面对严峻的外部形势和难得的发展机遇,中原经济区经济总体保持了平稳较快增长的态势。但也应看到,当前经济运行中的积极变化还主要是政策驱动的结果,经济回升的基础还不稳固,经济运行中面临的困难挑战依然较多:需求制约依然突出,经济下行压力短期内难以消除;受需求和成本双头挤压,企业经营依然困难;经营效应持续扩散,潜在风险仍在累积;多重因素相互叠加,财政持续增收难度较大。2013年,宏观经济环境仍然非常复杂。一方面,全球经济仍处在危机后的调整期,国际环境存在较大复杂性和不确定性,国内经济趋稳的基础还不够稳固。另一方面,经济全球化、国内市场一体化的趋势没有改变,工业化、城镇化加速推进的趋势没有改变,我们仍处于可以大有作为的重要战略机遇期。总体判断,经济运行总体环境将好于2012年。我们要紧紧抓住当前的战略机遇期,着力提高经济增长的质量和效益,不断推动中原经济区进一步加快发展。 <<
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    Abstract

    It is a perplexing year of macro-economic environment in 2012. On the one hand ,the external environment is tightening, regional competition is fierce, difficulties and challenges have increased, and the situation of development is severe. On the other hand, the Plan of Central Plains Economic Region has received the formal approval of the State Council. The economy of Central Plains Economic Region maintained a steady and fast growth trend faced with the severe external situation and the rare opportunity for development. However, it should be noted that the positive change of current economic operation is mainly policy-driven, the foundation of economic recovery is unstable, the difficulties and challenges in economic operation are still many: the demand is still seriously restrained, the economic downward pressure is difficult to eliminate in the short term; the operation of enterprise is still difficult due to the squeeze from demand and cost; the effect of management is diffused continuously, the potential risk is still accumulating. It is more difficult to keep government revenue increasing continuously with the superimposition of multiple factors. The macro-economic environment remains very complicated in 2013. On the one hand, the global economy is still in the period of adjustment after the crisis, the international environment is more complex and uncertain; the foundation of the domestic economy is not firm. On the other hand, we are still in the crucial period of strategic opportunities as the trend of economic globalization and domestic market integration has not changed with accelerating industrialization and urbanization. Overall, the economic operation environment will be better than that in 2012. We must firmly grasp the current period of strategic opportunities and strive to improve the quality and efficiency of economic growth, promote further development of Central Plains Economic Region constantly. <<
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    作者简介
    王俊杰:河南省统计局。
    朱涛:
    孙磊:河南省统计局工业统计处处长。
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