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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    民间借贷风险:现状、成因及社会影响

    摘要

    在中国二元金融体制下,民间借贷是一把“双刃剑”,其对推动实体经济尤其是中小企业发展起着重要的积极作用,但也会产生不可忽视的风险和隐患。2011年以来,由于国家实施紧缩的货币政策,中小企业融资难问题凸显。民间借贷规模迅速膨胀、借贷利率屡创新高,呈现非理性发展的趋势,并最终导致民间借贷案件频出、资金链断裂事件不断发生。民间借贷风险已成为影响中国经济健康稳定的重要因素。 <<
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    Abstract

    Under the current dual-structural financial system, private Lending is a double-edged sword. One the one hand, private lending promotes the advancement of real economy; and especially, it plays a positive role in stimulating the development of small and mid-sized enterprises. However, on the other hand, private lending also brings significant risks and potential hazards to the stability of our economy. Since 2011, government has adopted a stringent monetary policy, which poses financial difficulties for small and mid-sized enterprises. As a result, the scale of private lending expands rapidly and has driven the lending rate to record high level, which demonstrates a tendency of irrational growth. Consequently, we have witnessed frequent occurrence of cases relating to private lending. And the incidents of rupture of chain debt and the break of cash flow are quite common in some areas. Therefore, the risk of private lending has become an important factor that affects the stability of China's economy. <<
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    作者简介
    黄燕芬:中国人民大学公共管理学院教授、经济学博士,研究方向为公共部门经济学、宏观经济政策等。
    辛洪波:中国人民大学公共管理学院博士研究生。
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