基于河南省2000~2013年的时间序列数据,利用SVAR模型的脉冲响应函数及方差分解方法,分析了河南省金融信贷对农林牧副渔产业增加值的冲击效应及贡献度,通过研究发现,总体上金融信贷对农林牧副渔行业具有显著的同向冲击,这一冲击对河南省“三农”经济的增长具有显著的促进作用和较长的持续效应,但金融信贷产业对农、林、牧、副、渔产业的贡献率不足。为此,需要进一步加大金融支持农村经济发展的力度,不断提高农村金融支持的效率。
<<Based on the time serial data from 2000 to 2013 in Henan province,by using the method of impulse response function and variance decomposition of SVAR model,this article analysis the shock effect and contribution from financial credit to farming industry in Henan province,found that the financial credit have a same shock effect to farming industry,and this shock has a significant promoted effect and longer effect,but the contribution of financial credit industry to farming industry is less than. Therefore,it is need to strength the financial support for rural economic development in future,and to improve the support efficiency rate of the rural financial support continuously.
<<Keywords: | Rural EconomyFinancial SupportSVAR model |