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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    东北老工业基地制造业地理集聚的时空格局演变及其影响因素——以吉林省为例

    摘要

    本文以吉林省为例,采用产业空间集聚指数、行业集中指数,定量评价老工业基地制造业地理集聚的时空格局。应用多元回归模型,探讨制造业地理集聚格局的内在影响机制。结果表明,吉林省制造业空间集聚程度有所提高,空间极化格局显著,中部地区集聚明显,长春制造业呈现向西南扩散趋势;制造业产业结构发生变化,劳动密集型制造业产业集中指数下降,技术密集型和资本密集型比重相对提高;市场化水平、区位通达性、劳动力资源、资本、科技创新能力、规模经济、全球化水平等对制造业的空间集聚具有不同程度的正向影响;就业比重、科技因素、居民素质、市场外向性等对制造业产业集中度的影响存在显著差异;未来政策与制度、市场外向性、居民素质等对吉林省制造业地理集聚格局的影响更加深远。 <<
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    Abstract

    The primary object of this paper is to examine the spatial-temporal pattern evolution of manufacturing geographical agglomeration of the old industrial base. Industrial spatial agglomeration index and concentration ratio are used in this paper. Multiple linear regression models are also applied to try to explore the internal driving mechanisms on manufacturing geographical agglomeration. The results show that:1) the manufacturing agglomeration degree of Jilin Province is increasing gradually. The spatial polarization structure is visible;and the central region is the agglomeration area,in addition,the manufacturing industries of Changchun Proper present a trend of dispersion;2) the structure of manufacturing industries has changed,and the concentration ratio of labor -intensive manufacturing industry is declining,while the proportions of technology- intensive and capital-intensive manufacturing industry are relatively rising;3) marketing level,location accessibility,labor resources,capital,science and technology innovation capability,scale economy and the level of globalization affect manufacturing agglomeration with different degree. There are significant differences of the effects about employment,technology,the quality of residents and the export-oriented market on the industrial concentration ratio;4) in the future,the impact of policy and institution, export-oriented market and quality of resident on manufacturing geographical agglomeration pattern will be more profound. <<
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    作者简介
    李林山:李林山,博士,主要从事经济地理科研工作博士。
    马延吉:
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