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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    中国投资的空间相关与地区收敛

    摘要

    本文运用探索性空间数据分析方法,利用中国1995~2010年337个地级及以上城市(包括地区、自治州、盟)的投资数据对中国市域总体和局部空间差异的变化趋势、特征进行了初步探讨。结果表明,随着改革开放进程的逐步深化,中国各城市投资的空间相关性于1995~2005年增强,之后减弱。其次,在中国东部沿海形成了城市投资的“高-高”集聚区,在西部省份形成了成片的投资“低-低”集聚区。“高-低”奇异区主要分布在我国西部省会城市和直辖市,“低-高”奇异区分布在湖州、日照、中山、安康、资阳等城市。在此基础上,本文运用三种不同的经济计量模型,探讨了投资增长的空间收敛问题。结果显示,地理位置尽管对各地区的投资增长造成深刻影响,但并没有改变投资增长的收敛趋势,这种收敛是不显著的。 <<
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    Abstract

    In this paper,the trend and characteristics of general and local spatial differences of cities were discussed preliminary by analyzing investment data of 337 cities at prefecture level or above (including regions,autonomous prefectures and alliances) in china, 1995-2010,with the help of the exploratory spatial data analysis(ESDA). The results show that,with the gradual deepening of reform and opening-up process,spatial correlation of investment of cities increased during 1995-2005,and subsequently weakened. Secondly, “high-high” concentration were formed in eastern coastal cities and “low-low” concentration were formed in western provinces in china. “High-low” singular zones were mainly located in the capital cities and municipalities in western China,“low-high” singular zones were distributed in Huzhou,Rizhao,Zhongshan,Ankang,Ziyang cities and so on. On this basis,spatial convergence of investment growth explored by means of three different econometric models. The results show that although the impact of geographical position had a profound impact on investment growth of every city,but did not change the trend of spatial convergence of investment growth which was not significant. <<
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    作者简介
    陈园园:
    王建康:
    姚丽:
    杨友宝:
    宋庆伟:
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