“安倍经济学”实施两年来,主要通过“第一支箭”和“第二支箭”对日本经济产生影响。由于存在三个误算,即提高消费税税率所带来的影响远远超过预期,工资上升跟不上物价的上涨,日元贬值但出口数量几乎没有增加,进入2014年后,日本经济状况急剧恶化。通过讨论“安倍经济学”的“第三支箭”即成长战略的重要性,提出成长战略的实施应当以五个领域为重点:降低企业所得税实效税率,在国家战略特区进行“堡垒”规制试点改革,持续提高工资和推动劳动力市场改革,推进区域经济合作协定的缔结与农业改革,推行“地方安倍经济学”。
<<During implementation in the first two years,“Abenomics” depended on the first and second arrows to generate economic impact. Due to three miscalculations,namely the large unexpected influence of sales tax increase,wage fell behind inflation,the marginal effect of yen depreciation on exports,Japan’s economy deteriorated significantly since 2014. In discussing the importance of the third arrow of “Abenomics”,growth strategy,this paper highlights five areas for its implementation:reduction of enterprises’ effective income tax rate,“fortress” regulation reform in national strategic zone,continual wage raise and labor market reform,promotion of regional economic cooperation agreements and agricultural reform,and “Abenomics” with regional characteristics.
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