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    中国城乡文化消费需求景气总体评价——“民生指标”20年分析与2013年度测评

    摘要

    2013年,全国城乡文化消费需求继续保持高增长:总量增长13。71%,达12969。37亿元;人均值增长13。15%,达955。47元。以人均值衡量,城乡文化消费增长显著高于产值增长,较明显高于城乡居民收入增长,明显高于总消费增长,但仍明显低于积蓄增长。文化消费城乡差距比上年扩大3。44%,各省域间城乡文化消费地区差距比上年缩小3。55%。2013年全国总体城乡综合景气指数测算:“九五”以来纵向测评显著高于基数值,“十五”以来纵向测评略微高于基数值,“十一五”以来纵向测评较明显低于基数值,“十二五”以来纵向测评略微高于基数值,一年以来纵向测评略微高于基数值;城乡、地区无差距年度横向测评显著低于理想值,原因在于城乡差距、地区差距的持续存在及扩大。

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    Abstract

    In 2013,the countrywide overall cultural consumption demand in urban and rural areas continued to maintain high growth:total cultural consumption went up by 13.71%,reaching 1296.937 billion yuan;the per capita value went up by 13.15%,reaching 955.47 yuan. As measured by per capita value,the annual growth of cultural consumption in urban and rural areas was remarkably higher than the GDP growth,certainly higher than the residents’ income growth and evidently higher than the total consumption growth,also evidently lower than the savings growth. The disparity in cultural consumption between urban and rural areas widened by 3.44%;the regional gap of cultural consumption in urban and rural areas among various provinces shrank by 3.55% over the previous year. The status evaluations of countrywide overall cultural consumption demand in urban and rural areas in 2013 are as follows:the value of vertical evaluation is remarkably higher than the base value since the “Ninth Five-year Plan” period;it is slightly higher than the base value since the “Tenth Five-year Plan” period;it is certainly lower than the base value since the “Eleventh Five-year Plan” period and it is slightly higher than the base value of the previous year;the annual lateral evaluation without urban-rural and regional gaps is remarkably lower than the ideal value,because of the continuous widening disparity of the urban-rural and the regional gaps.

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    作者简介
    王亚南:王亚南,云南省社会科学院研究员,文化开发研究中心主任,云南师范大学公共文化服务与文化产业发展研究所所长。
    刘婷:刘婷,云南省社会科学院副研究员,文化开发研究中心秘书长。
    赵娟:赵娟,云南省社会科学院文化开发研究中心副研究员。
    郝朴宁:郝朴宁,云南师范大学教授,公共文化服务与文化产业发展研究所常务副所长。
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