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    加速转型中的中国城镇化与城市发展——“十一五”回顾与“十二五”展望

    摘要

    自1996年以来,中国的城镇化进入了快速推进时期,城镇化率平均每年提高1。25个百分点,其中2006~2009年平均每年提高0。9个百分点。相比之下,城镇化质量的提高却较为缓慢,城镇化速度与质量严重不协调。目前,中国的城镇化呈现出典型的不完全城镇化特征,城镇化率在统计上有些高估。在“十一五”期间,中国城市发展取得了巨大成效:城市规模快速扩张,中心城市地位凸显;城市基础设施不断完善,投融资渠道日趋多元化;城市经济实力显著增强,产业结构进一步优化;城市人居环境明显改善,建设管理水平迅速提高;城市社会事业蓬勃发展,和谐城市建设迈出新步伐。然而,由于体制和政策不完善,当前中国城市发展尚存在诸多问题,如城市土地扩张与人口增长不匹配,城乡与区域发展严重不平衡,收入差距扩大与居住分异加剧,各种城市社会问题日益凸显,城市空间开发无序现象严重,大城市膨胀问题亟待解决等。“十二五”期间,中国将进入城镇化与城市发展双重转型的新阶段,预计城镇化率年均提高0。8~1。0个百分点,到2015年达到52%左右,到2030年达到65%左右。为此,必须坚持速度与质量并重,加快全面城镇化的进程,着力提高城镇化的质量,推动城市转型升级和科学发展,走具有中国特色的新型城镇化道路。

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    Abstract

    since 1996,China’s urbanization has entered a period of rapid promotion,in which urbanization rate increased 1.25 percentage points per year and 0.9 percentage point from 2006 to 2009. In contrast,the improvement in the quality of urbanization seems slower and hence urbanization speed and quality appear significant uncoordinated. At present,China’s urbanization has shown the typical characteristics of incomplete urbanization,the urbanization in statistics overestimated. In the “11th five-year plan” period,China’s urban development has made great achievements:city sizes have expanded rapidly,central cities’ statuses have been highlighted significantly;urban infrastructure has improved continuously,investment and financing channels have become more diversified;urban economic strength has increased markedly,the industrial structure has been optimized further;urban living environment has improved significantly,construction and management level has lifted rapidly;urban social undertakings have developed vigorously,the construction of harmonious cities has taken new steps. However,as the imperfections of system and policy,the current development of cities still has many problems,such as a mismatch between urban land expansion and population growth,a serious imbalance development between urban and rural areas as well as among regions,a widening income gap and a intensifying residential differentiation,a variety of urban social problems becoming more and more apparent,the disorder of urban spatial development becoming serious,the expansion problem of big cities waiting for urgent solving and so on. During “12th five-year plan” period,China will enter a new stage of double transitions of urbanization and urban development. Urbanization is expected to increase by 0.8 percentage points annually,and then reach 52% by 2015 and 65% by 2030. To this end,we must pay equal attention to both speed and quality of urbanization,accelerate the process of full urbanization,focus on improving the quality of urbanization,accelerate the urban transition and upgrading and promote urban scientific development. In a word,we must take the road of new type of urbanization with Chinese characteristics.

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    作者简介
    魏后凯:魏后凯,经济学博士,中国社会科学院城市发展与环境研究所副所长,研究员,博士生导师,主要从事城市与区域经济学、产业经济学研究。
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