2014年阿富汗总统大选是美国在阿富汗展开“持久自由行动”以来,阿国内首次以选举形式实现权力交接。此次选举也是北约多国安全援助部队结束在阿作战任务前影响阿富汗国内政局发展和安全形势变化的最重要因素。本文简要回顾了2014年阿富汗总统选举的发展演进过程,对阿国内外有关各方的行为和政策动机进行了分析和梳理,对其采取策略的效果进行了评估。在此基础上,对未来阿富汗政治和安全局势的发展演变做出了预测。
<<2014 Afghanistan Presidential Election is the first time that Afghanistan realizes power transition in the form of election since the US carried out Operation Enduring Freedom. This election is also the most important element that influences development of political situation and changes of security situation in Afghanistan before NATO troops end their tasks in the country. After a brief review of the development of this election,this paper analyzes actions and policy motives of related parties in Afghanistan and also evaluates the effectiveness of their strategies. On this basis,the paper provides a prediction on the future development of political and security situation in Afghanistan.
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