2014年南海局势进一步复杂化,油气资源开发升温、国际仲裁介入、美国对海洋制度的维护以及中国维权力量增长是四类主要的变革。随着周边国家开发南海的技术能力和形式更加多元化,国内经济社会发展升级,南海潜藏的权益也日渐得到重视,带动了区域外跨国公司以及大国的介入和干预。稳定南海局势至少要两手准备,不能只是单纯地希望和解,也要准备通过各种手段防止冲突。更为重要的是,要对和平解决南海争端保持信心,从长远角度探索各方“多赢”的局面。
<<The South China Sea issue has became more and more complex with the interaction of four forces. Oil and gas resources competition,international arbitration,U.S. intervention and China’s power growth leads international anxious to the peaceful resolution. At the same time,technique factors and domestic social economic development require neighboring countries pay more attention to the South China Sea. To some extent,the international corporation was invited into this region and involved into the disputes. Outside forces,especially the United States,were afraid of the China’s rise and its power expansion in this region. They send strong signals to urge claimers use non force solutions. Under the new situations,China should take two ways. On the one hand,it is possible to deal with it through negotiation. On the other hand,China still needs improve various measures to control conflict escalation. The most important lesson needs to keep in mind is that we should maintain confidence on the peaceful solution. We should take a long perspective to create a “multi-wins” on the South China Sea Issues.
<<Keywords: | Oil and Gas ResourcesThe South China Sea IssueInternational ArbitrationThe Dotted LineChinese Power |