随着中国收入水平持续增长,需求的趋势性转折引领经济进入转型期,中国开始从工业化社会逐渐向后工业社会过渡,经济转型对资源配置提出了新方向。由于政府职能错位与缺位,资源难以有效重新配置,供求失衡矛盾突出,经济增长动力不足。刺激政策和不匹配的金融市场化改革,进一步加剧了资源配置扭曲和金融市场风险,供求失衡加剧。“经济转型综合征”是指内生经济增长活力下降、不当的刺激性政策、金融风险增加三者之间进入恶性循环。克服经济转型综合征,需要与时俱进的发展理念、完善对政府的制衡机制,进而纠正政府职能缺位和错位。
<<After thirty years high economic growth,Chinese economy is stepping into a classical transition from industrial economy into post-industrial economy. In this transition period,mismatch between demand side and supply side is enlarged due to over regulations in service sectors,and economic growth engine is weakened. Stimulus policies aim to keep economic growth momentum at expense of sharp increase of financial fragility and resource misallocation,which is unsustainable and harmful to sustainable economic growth. China’s economic transition syndrome refers to such a vicious cycle among slowing down of GDP growth,increasing demand for stimulus policies,and increasing financial fragility.
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