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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2014年中国城乡居民收入和消费状况

    摘要

    本文对2014年中国城乡居民收入和消费状况进行分析,并对2015年促进城乡居民收入和消费提出建议。2014年,中国城乡居民收入不断增长,消费水平持续提高,热点消费逐步稳固;但是也出现了影响城乡居民收入和消费的因素,如收入增长缺乏长效机制,消费需求不足,城乡消费差距过大、农村消费比重过低,以及房地产业的回落影响相关商品的消费等。预测2015年,中国经济增长将在7%左右,社会消费品零售总额将增长10%左右。

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    Abstract

    This paper analyzes the overall income and consumption in urban and rural China in 2014,and forecasts the trend of residents’ income and consumption in the future. In 2014,income level continues to increase steadily across both urban and rural residents. Meanwhile,residents’ consumption demonstrates an upward trend,with the stabilization of the consumption structure. However,admittedly,there are many factors which have negative effect and become obstacles to boost domestic consumption. For example,the lack of long-term mechanism of income increment,the insufficiency of consumption,the gap between urban and rural residents in consumption level,the low percentage of rural consumption,and the downward trend of housing price with decreasing demand for related commodities,all pose negative effect on the income and consumption structure. For the next year,the economic growth rate will remain at about 7%,and the total retail sales of consumer goods will increase about 10.0%.

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    作者简介
    吕庆喆:吕庆喆,博士,国家统计局统计科学研究所社会统计研究室主任、高级统计师。
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