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    台湾地区经济形势分析与展望(2014~2015年)

    摘要

    2014年台湾地区经济受美欧经济好转、两岸稳步开展经济合作的带动,经济景气有所回升。台湾地区统计部门预计全年经济增长率将由上年的2。09%升为3。41%。以电子资讯业为主的对外贸易是经济增长的主要动力,并拉动岛内相关产业的民间投资。年内台湾当局推出多项金融市场开放的政策,但“海峡两岸服务贸易协议”和“自由经济示范区规划草案”受政治因素影响未如期通过,这将影响台湾经济改革与转型的速度。尽管年底台湾实际经济增长率还将小幅上调,但由于经济增长内生动力不足以及外部美欧及新兴经济体发展形势复杂,2015年台湾经济难有大的起色。

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    Abstract

    In 2014,Taiwan economy continue to upswing,driven by a pickup in the Us and Europe,the cross-strait economic cooperation. Economic growth has been forecast a rise of 3.41% from 2.09%. Taiwan economic growth depends upon the trade of electronic information industry,which is also a driving force for internal investment. In a year many financial liberalization policies were pushed by Taiwan authorities,but not including the draft of Free Economic Pilot Zones and The Mainland-Taiwan Agreement on Service Trade,which were blocked in Taiwan legislature. That would be not conducive to Taiwan economic reform and restructure. Currently there are still two questions for Taiwan economic:lack of the endogenous growth momentum and complicated international economic situation. Looking forward to the year of 2015,we conclude that Taiwan economy is likely to keep slow growth.

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    作者简介
    张冠华:
    熊俊莉:
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