2014年前三季度工业经济出现了回落,但产业结构调整取得了积极进展,工业经济增长质量明显改善。当前,工业经济增长动力机制正面临转换。从需求来看,投资仍是工业增长的重要驱动力,但投资效率加快下滑;从供给来看,全要素生产率的提高将逐步代替资本形成成为工业增长的核心驱动力;从产业来看,劳动密集型产业和资本密集型、知识密集型产业均对中国工业经济增长起到了不可替代的作用,但作用机制和相对地位将发生一定的变化。国家在政策制定时,应注重多目标的平衡,既要保持工业经济较快增长,避免过快下滑带来的各种冲击,也要着力提高工业经济增长质量,加快转型升级,因此应从需求、供给和产业等不同层面出台政策,打出“组合拳”,既重视结果也重视过程,推动工业经济的健康可持续发展。
<<In the first three quarters of 2014,the industrial economy appeared to fall,but the adjustment of industrial structure had achieved positive progress,the quality of industrial economic growth improved obviously. At present,the industrial dynamic mechanism of economic growth is facing a transformation. From the demand perspective,an important driving force for industrial growth is still investment,but the efficiency of investment accelerate decline;from the view of supply,total factor productivity will gradually take the place of capital formation,and become the core of industrial growth driving force;from the industry point of view,labor-intensive industries,capital intensive,knowledge intensive industries play an irreplaceable role in China’s industrial economic growth,but the mechanism and relative position will have a certain change.
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