低流动性是场外交易市场的典型特征,也是目前困扰该市场健康发展的重大问题。本文对国内两个典型场外交易市场和台湾兴柜市场流动性做对比分析,表明做市商制度下市场流动性更好;评估兴柜流动性管理制度改革的有效性,发现对做市商行为的规范改革对流动性有更大影响。本文还基于GARCH模型对台湾兴柜市场的流动性风险进行了动态特征研究。最后,本文提出了完善流动性管理制度的对策建议。
<<Low liquidity is typical in OTC market,which is the foremost problem plaguing the healthy development of the market. In this report,two typical domestic markets and the Taiwan OTC Emerging market’s liquidity sectional data were analyzed,and it was found that liquidity under market maker system was better. Analyzing time series data of market liquidity to assess the effectiveness of liquidity management-related reforms of the national SME share transfer system and Emerging market,the report found that the reform on standard management of market maker’s behavior have a greater impact on market liquidity. Describing the dynamic characteristics of the liquidity risk of the National SME share transfer system and Taiwan Emerging market with GARCH model,the results showed that high level of liquidity risk in the National SME share transfer system and the characteristic of presenting the positive and negative impact on the concentration of the reaction,long-term memory and non-symmetry. Finally,countermeasures were proposed to improve the management system of the OTC market liquidity.
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