本文在理论分析资本市场促进产业结构升级作用机制的基础上,以1991~2011年我国资本市场融资率与产业结构升级率的数据为样本,通过回归分析和误差修正分析,研究了我国资本市场对产业结构升级的推动作用。通过总量和结构分析发现,我国资本市场发展对产业结构升级具有长期的推动作用,而且各个子市场中债券市场的推动作用是最强的,股票市场次之,中长期贷款市场的作用最小。并结合本文的理论分析和实证检验结果,提出了制定符合本国禀赋的产业调整与发展政策的建议,以及大力发展多层次、多元化资本市场,完善资本市场体系等具体的政策建议。
<<Based on the theoretical analysis of the mechanism of action of capital market promoting industrial structure escalation,This paper is mainly on the pushing power of the capital market of China to industrial structure escalation through the analysis of regression and error correction-model on the basis of the data of the ratio of financing and upgrading of our country’s industrial structure from 1991 to 2011. Through the gross and structure analysis,we discovered that the development of our capital market can promote the upgrading of industrial structure in the long run. In addition,the securities market have the biggest boosting power among different segments of capital market,while the stock market the second,the medium-term and long-term credit market the least. Combined the theoretical analysis and empirical test results,we propose some specific suggestions,for example,putting forwards industry adjustment and development policy conforming to our own endowment,developing the multi-level capital market and improving the capital market system.
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