互联网金融的发展对我国货币政策的影响包括:通过“鲇鱼效应”影响微观银行的经营行为,增强银行间市场利率的业内竞争,进而影响利率的形成机制;通过影响市场中的现金—存款比率和超额准备金需求,进而影响货币乘数、货币总量和货币流通速度。我们在既有银行经营理论研究的基础上,引入互联网金融对银行同业市场的外生影响。理论研究表明,互联网金融通过规模集聚效应和信息传导效应增强了银行存款规模及市场利率对于同业市场利率的敏感性,但同时也会带来狭义货币乘数的波动和货币流通速度的降低。因此我国货币政策应适应互联网金融时代的需求,在传统的货币政策调控体系的基础上,以互联网金融的创新交易方式为对象,建立一套货币供应量和货币流通速度的补充体系,进一步增强中央银行运用数量型货币政策调控的目标性和有效性。
<<Internet finance influences China’s monetary policy in two ways. First,it changes the management behavior of micro banks through “catfish effect”,thus enhances the industry competitiveness of interbank offered rate,and further affects the interest rate formation mechanism of China. Second,by changing the cash-deposit ratio and excess reserve requirements in the financial market,internet finance influences the monetary multiplier,aggregate money supply and velocity of money circulation. Based on theoretical framework of banking operations,we introduce the external shock of internet finance to the interbank market. Our results show that the internet finance improve the sensitivity of bank deposit scale and interest rates to interbank offered rate through two channels. One is agglomeration effect,the other is information transmission effect. Also,internet finance triggers the fluctuation of narrow money multiplier and reduction of the velocity of money circulation. Therefore,it’s necessary for China’s monetary policy to adapt to the needs of internet financial era,and develop a new complementary framework of money supply and money circulation velocity on the basis of conventional monetary policy,through which improve the objectiveness and effectiveness of quantitative monetary policy.
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