大量的研究表明,外商直接投资(FDI)的流入能通过直接和间接就业效应对东道国的就业市场产生深远影响,其总就业效应大小和方向在不同的国家和地区显现不同的特点。本文对广州市服务业吸收FDI的就业数量效应进行实证研究,研究结果显示:服务业FDI给广州市服务业就业市场带来负的直接就业效应和正的间接就业效应,其总效应为正,表明服务业FDI促进了广州市服务业就业数量的增加;同时,服务业FDI与就业数量之间存在双向Granger因果关系;广义脉冲响应路径表明广州市服务业吸收FDI和服务业就业数量之间存在长期持续的相互促进作用。由此认为服务业FDI对促进广州就业具有重要意义,据此提出相关政策建议。
<<A large number of researches indicate that the influx of foreign direct investment (FDI) will have a profound impact on the host nation’s job market by means of direct and indirect employment effect,but the feature of its total employment effect is different among different countries and regions. This paper makes an empirical research on employment effect of FDI in service industry of Guangzhou. The result shows that services FDI generates negative direct employment effect and positive indirect employment effect,the comprehensive effect is positive,which indicates that services FDI has promoted the increase in the number of services employment in Guangzhou. Meanwhile,there is a two-way Granger cause-effect relationship between services FDI and the number of services employment. The result of the generalized impulse response function reveals that there exists a persistent mutual promotion between services FDI and the number of services employment. Therefore,the conclusion is that services FDI is of great significance in promoting the employment in Guangzhou. Accordingly,this paper puts forward relevant policy.
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