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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    巴拉圭:选前暗战,反对党占据先机

    摘要

    左翼执政联盟面临考验,由于卢戈争取连任的努力失败,左翼参加大选难以提出有竞争力的其他人选。红党的奥拉西奥·卡特斯进一步加强了对红党的控制和影响,有望获得红党候选人提名。在经济方面,2011年经济稳定增长,2012年或受欧债危机影响趋缓。在社会形势方面,巴拉圭人民军仍然在进行绑架活动,但并未引起政局动荡。在外交方面,由于与巴西的伊泰普水电补偿协议生效,使巴拉圭的财政状况较为乐观。同时,也重视与美国、拉美其他国家和日本的传统关系。 <<
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    Abstract

    The leftist ruling coalition led by President Lugo was confronted with challenges due to the failure of the constitutional amendment for re-election. It was a thorny issue for the ruling coalition to name a competitive candidate for the upcoming presidential election in 2013. Horacio Carters strengthened the control over the Colorado Party who is expected to get the party's nomination. In 2011 the national economy maintained growing. But, in 2012, the growth rat might slow down due to the European debt crisis. With regard to social situation, Paraguay People's Army was still underway for kidnapping, but did not lead to political instability. The Itaipu hydroelectric compensation agreement with Brazil entered into force which facilitated Paraguay to improve financial position. At the same time, Paraguay continued to promote relations with the United States, Latin American countries and Japan. <<
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    作者简介
    杨建民:中国社会科学院拉丁美洲研究所研究员。
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