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谢伏瞻
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李培林
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    2009年财政经济形势及2010年展望

    摘要

    2009年财政经济形势表现为以下几个特点:生产形势总体趋好、内需保持较快增长、外贸形势依然严峻、物价同比降幅较小,但环比转正、经济增长质量有所提高、货币信贷运行总体平稳、财政收入继续回升。当前经济运行中存在的问题:外部经济环境依然严峻,经济增长的内生动力和活力依然不足,结构性矛盾比较突出,农业稳定发展和农民增收难度较大,部分企业经营比较困难,资产市场波动较大,金融风险和地方财政风险值得关注。展望2010年,我国经济将保持回升态势,物价将逐步回升,财政收支矛盾仍较突出。由此决定下一步宏观调控政策的取向:继续实施积极财政政策,适时调整政策的着力点;继续实施适度宽松的货币政策,把握好政策的重点、力度和节奏;推进市场化改革,增强经济内生增长活力。

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    Abstract

    In 2009,the financial economic situation has following characteristics that,the overall production situation goes up-and-up,the domestic demand keeps quicker growth,the foreign trade situation is still stern,the amplitude of price lowering is small over the one in previous year,but the ratio on a month-on-month basis has become positive,the economic growth quality has improved,the currency credit operation is steady in overall,and the financial revenue continues to rise again. There are some problems in the current economic operation,including the external economic environment is still stern,the endogenous power and vigor of economic growth are insufficient yet,the structural contradiction is quite prominent,the agricultural steady development and farmer’s income increase have a big difficulty,the operation of partial enterprises is in difficulty,the asset market has a big fluctuation,and the financial risk and the local financial risk are worth paying attention. To forecast the situation in 2010,Chinese economy will maintain recovery,the price will gradually rise again,the contradiction between financial revenue and expenditure is still prominent;thereby,the orientation of next macroeconomic control policy is decided,namely unceasingly implementing the proactive fiscal policy,and duly adjusting the stress of policy;unceasingly implementing the moderately loose monetary policy,and seizing the stress,strength and rhythm of policy;Advancing the marketability reform,and enhancing the endogenous vigor of economy growth.

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    作者简介
    马拴友:
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