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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2010年中国经济复苏的不确定因素分析

    摘要

    2009年宏观经济在大幅度下降后基本企稳,未来经济主要面临如何复苏问题。在此过程中需注意各种不确定性因素,包括:国际经济不确定性增加,我国出口的复苏之路将较为缓慢;投资增长后劲不足,其可持续性与效益值得关注;信贷急剧增加,通货膨胀压力加大。为此,我们建议积极推动走出去战略,变被动为主动;优化投资结构,进一步促进投资主体多样化;控制信贷总量,同时进一步加大对中小企业融资的支持力度。

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    Abstract

    In 2009,the macro-economy has stabilized and basically after largely drop,and the future economy mainly face the problem how to rally. In this process,all kinds of uncertain factors must be paid attention,including the uncertainty of international economy increases,and the recovery of China’s exports is slower;the stamina of investment growth is insufficient,and its sustainment and benefit are worth paying attention;the credit creases sharply,and the inflationary pressure enlarges. Therefore,we suggested impelling the gotten-out strategy positively,and changing the passiveness into the initiative;optimizing the structure of investment,and further promoting the diversification of investment subject;controlling the gross of credit,and simultaneously further enlarging the support strength to the financing of small and medium-sized enterprises.

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    作者简介
    秦宛顺:
    钱士春:
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