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谢伏瞻
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    2009年国民经济发展预测和2010年展望

    摘要

    2009年国民经济发展的主要特点:内需保持快速增长,市场销售持续较旺;对外经济出现好转。进出口降幅逐步缩小;工业增长不断加快;结构调整积极推进;民生工作继续加强。初步预计,第四季度经济将保持平稳回升,增长速度会快于第三季度,全年经济增长速度将超过8%。2010年,我国国内需求将继续较快增长,但增速会有所回落,对经济增长的拉动作用将稍弱于今年;出口有望恢复增长,净出口对经济增长的下拉作用将会明显减弱;全年国民经济将保持平稳较快发展态势,增长速度有望快于2009年。

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    Abstract

    In 2009,maintaining the swift growth of domestic demand and the prosperous marketing features in the national economic development,and the foreign economy presents the change for the better. The decreasing amplitude of import and export is reducing gradually;the industrial growth speeds up unceasingly;the structural adjustment is advancing positively;and the work about livelihood of the people is strengthened unceasingly. It is estimated initially that,the economy will maintain the steady rise in the fourth quarter,the speed of growth will be quicker than the one in the third quarter,and the speed of economic growth in the whole year will surpass 8%. In 2010,China’s domestic demand will keep quick growth,but the speed will have a fall,and the drive function to economic growth will be slightly weaker than the one in this year;it is hopeful for the export to resume the growth,and the pull-down function of net exports to the economic growth will weaken obviously;the national economy in the whole year will keep steady quick development trend,and it is hopeful for the speed of growth to be quicker than the one in 2009.

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    作者简介
    袁达:
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