北京二手房市场在经历2008年低迷调整后,在系列刺激政策助推下,2009年出现回暖、小阳春、井喷、量价高位盘整的交易火爆场面。消费者购房心态从“跟风”到“恐慌”。上半年主要从创造宽松购房环境入手,刺激购房需求,促房市快速发展来带动经济增长;下半年政策走向略有调整,针对上半年二手房的井喷、爆发成交后,下半年加强金融风险管理,房贷政策有所趋紧,抑制二套等投资性需求。
2010年政策仍以支持自住和改善型购房发展为主,但对投资和投机需求政策会有所趋紧。预计2010年价格仍然会高位运行,交易活跃度有所降低,成交量低于2009年。
<<After the downturn in 2008,the secondary residential market in Beijing has gone through initial recovery,short boom,and adjustment at high level. The mindset of consumers also shifted from “following others” to “be panic”. In the first half of 2009,market environment was very favorable for home buyers. Housing demand was stimulated,so as to promote the rapid development of housing market and to spur the economic growth. In the second half of 2009,policies were slightly adjusted. Financial risk management was strengthened;mortgage policy was also tightened to curb investment demand such as second-home purchase.
Property policies will continue to support self-living demand,as well as upgrading demand. However for investment and speculative demand,policies will be tightened somehow. It is estimated that property market will remain at high level,and the transaction volume will be less than that in 2009.
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