2009年除山西煤改掀起多地煤炭重组、“气荒”再现凸显供求矛盾、新成品油定价机制实施等热点外,中国能源行业总体运行平稳。预计2010年我国能源生产总量将继续增长,增速可能呈现“先快后慢”的特点。研究发现,中国能源业多元化趋势明显,表现为三种情形:基础能源体系形成多元发展态势;能源结构层次呈现低碳多元格局;能源开发形成区域多元化战略。我们认为,低碳化已是中国的目标,能源结构的转型是国家经济转型的关键环节,也是社会进步的重要标志,实现低碳化的、有序的能源结构是中国能源战略定位的根本。
<<China energy industry was overall stable in 2009,but there were many momentous events such as the coal industry restructuring in many provinces brought by the Coal Reform in ShanXi province,gas shortage appeared across the country which highlighted the contradiction between supply and demand and the implementation of the new refined oil pricing mechanism.It is expected that China’s total energy production will grow in 2010.This growth may show the “slow down after” feature.Research find that China’s energy diversification trend is clearly which manifests in three aspects.Firstly,the based energy system is forming diversified development trend.Secondly,energy structure is showing the low-carbon and diversified pattern.Thirdly,Energy development is forming the regional diversification strategy.We believe that low carbon is a goal of China.The structural transformation of the energy is the key to the country’s economic restructuring,which is also an important symbol of social progress.To achieve low-carbon and orderly energy structure is the fundation of the China’s energy strategy.
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