在世界经济快速增长的带动下,2006年国际贸易增长高达8%,呈现出2000年以来的第二个高增长点。由于美国和欧盟两大贸易体的外贸增长幅度明显低于2006年,且除中国外的BRICs国家出口增长也明显放缓,因此2007年的国际贸易形势不如上年,实际贸易增长率在6%左右。多哈回合谈判处在重要的十字路口。如果各成员能够达成一致的减让模式,2007年底或2008年初有望结束多哈回合谈判,否则将面临被长期冻结的危险。2008年的国际贸易增长可望保持2007年的增长水平。
<<The strong global macro-economics situation in 2006 provided a favourable framework for the expansion of international trade.In 2006,world merchandise exports grew in real terms by 8.0%,being the second highest since 2000.Due to the slowdown of exports growth in US、EU and BRICs’,world merchandise exports is expected to grow in real terms by 6.0% in 2007,lower than that of 2006.Doha Round Negotiation is at the crossroad.If the members could come to an agreement,Doha Round Negotiation would be closed at the end of 2007 or at the begining of 2008.Otherwise it may be frosted for a long time.In 2008,world merchandise exports will maintain the momentum of 2007,with the similar growth rate of 6.0%.
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