作为世界第三大经济体,日本经济能否复苏将对世界经济产生重要影响。自安倍经济学推出后,短期效果明显,显示政策开启了日本经济的复苏。但随着政策的进一步推行,依赖财政支出和量化宽松货币政策的刺激计划开始出现效应递减。财政政策和货币政策面临债务危机、征收消费税、货币政策传导不畅等挑战,政策推行从长期看不可持续。安倍经济学中最关键的结构改革迟迟未能发挥作用,日本经济的长期增长面临巨大挑战和诸多不确定性。
<<As the world’s third largest economy,whether Japan’s economy recovery or not will have an important impact on the world economy. The short-term effect of Abenomics is obvious,which shows that the policy opens the economic recovery. However,the effect of the stimulus package which rely on financial expenditure and QQE starts falling with the implementation of the policy. Fiscal policy and monetary policy face debt crisis,collection of consumption tax,monetary policy transmission channel and other challenges. The implementation of these policies unsustainable in the long term. The key structural reform of Abenomics has failed to play a role. Japan’s long-term economic growth faces huge challenges and uncertainties.
<<Keywords: | Structural ReformDebt CrisisAbenomicsGST |