在过去15年间,长期持续的通货紧缩已在日本居民心中形成了根深蒂固的通缩预期,企业和家庭不轻易投资和消费,从而导致日本经济长期低迷。日本银行2013年4月推出量化质化货币宽松政策(QQE),其目的是通过明确承诺达到物价稳定目标而推出超大规模的货币宽松政策,根本改变国民对物价的预期,摆脱通货紧缩。推出QQE后,日本经济顺利复苏,物价也由负转正,通胀预期也不断向好。今后,日本经济虽然会受消费税提高的影响,但将保持复苏态势,进而摆脱通货紧缩。
<<Persistent deflation in the past 15 years formulated ingrained deflation expectation in the Japanese people’s mind.Firms and households don’t invest and consume easily,which leads to prolonged slowdown of Japanese economy. Last April,the Bank of Japan introduced Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE). Its goal is to get out of deflation by dramatically changing people’s expectation on prices through explicitly committing ourselves to achieving price stability target and carrying out monetary easing with massive scale. After implementing QQE,the Japanese economy has been smoothly recovering and prices have started rising. People’s expectation has also been continuously improving. On the horizon,the Japanese economy though will encounter the impact of consumption tax hike,will continue its recovery trend,and finally get out of deflation.
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