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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    安倍经济学的现状与前景

    摘要

    日本在安倍内阁执政一年的时间里实施的经济政策,即所谓安倍经济学,通过“第一支箭”“大胆的金融政策”和“第二支箭”“机动的财政政策”,已经在形成通胀预期和提振股市等方面取得了一定成效。同时日本还决定在2014年4月上调消费税率等,正在努力让该国在发达国家中处于最糟糕水平的财政情况得到重建。今后的任务是,通过大力推动“增长战略”这一结构改革,激发民间投资,促进工资水平的提高,以实现经济再生和财政重建的良性循环。日本的上述举措,对于中国正在开展的史无前例的广泛而深入的改革而言,也具有一定的借鉴意义。

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    Abstract

    Since the birth of the Abe administration,its economic policy,so called “Abenomics,” especially by adopting “aggressive monetary policy (first arrow of the three arrows of “Abenomics”)” and “flexible fiscal policy (second arrow),” has brought in certain outcomes including materializing inflationary expectation and boosting the stock market. At the same time,the administration has taken a tangible step forward,including confirmation of implementing the planned raise of consumption tax rate in April this year,to consolidate the Japan’s fiscal situation which has been the worst in the advanced countries. The country is now facing a challenge to activate virtuous cycles of revitalizing its economy and fiscal consolidation through promoting private investment and encouraging wage increase by decisively implementing the Growth Strategy which consists of numerous structural reforms. In doing so,Japan could suggest some lessons to China which is also in the process of unprecedentedly deep and broad reform process and in turn Japan could learn from China conducting the challenging reforms. In this particular perspective,possible bilateral exchange of experience,views and opinions between relevant bodies of the two countries could substantially contribute to their reform process.

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    作者简介
    〔日〕贝塚正彰:贝塚正彰,日本驻华大使馆公使,2011年9月开始由日本财务省派驻日本驻华大使馆工作。本文的撰写时间截至2013年12月31日,经济指标等也是截止于此。文中观点都是作者本人的个人见解,并不代表日本大使馆和日本政府,特此说明。
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