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谢伏瞻
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    2013年全国城市地价动态监测报告

    摘要

    2013年,在我国宏观经济运行整体平稳、固定资产投资较快增长、货币信贷平稳增长的背景下,全国房地产开发投资、商品房销售面积和商品房销售额均有较快增长,增速分别为19。8%、17。3%和26。3%,全国主要城市地价同比增长率止跌回升,平均增长7。02%,较上年提高了4。41个百分点。全国各用途地价逐季增长,东、中、西部地区各用途地价增长率均大幅提高,中部地区各用途地价增长率高于西部地区。全国主要监测城市住宅地价同比上涨城市较上年增加25个,最大增幅为37。98%。全国平均地价占房价比略有上升,各重点监测城市住宅用地地价房价比存在较大差异;国内生产总值、固定资产投资、城镇居民家庭人均可支配收入增速均高于地价增长率。2014年,宏观经济的良好预期、不断完善的保障房政策和房地产市场调控长效机制的探索,将有利于促进城市土地市场平稳运行;“以人为本”的新型城镇化导向将有利于促进不同类型城市土地市场协调发展;货币流动性变化和差别化信贷政策仍将直接影响房地产市场的投机投资性需求;不动产统一登记制度和房产税试点扩围将影响房地产市场预期,有利于土地市场的长期稳定发展。

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    Abstract

    In 2013,with China’s macro-economy running smoothly,the investment in the fixed assets growing rapidly and the monetary debit growing steadily,the nationwide real estate investment,the sales of commercial housing area and the sales amount of commercial housing all increased at a quite high speed.The growth speeds of each are 19.8%,17.3% and 26.3%.Under this environment,the growth rate of land price stopped going down and started growing in major cities,and the average growth rate is 7.02%,increased by 4.41 compared with last year.The price of all-kind-use land rose every season in eastern,middle and western China,and the middle China land price grew faster than western China.The amount of key cities with an increasing year-on-year growth rate of residential land price is 25 more than last year,with the maximum growth rate 37.98%.The ratio of national average land price in housing price rose slightly,however,there existed a great disparity among the key cities in view of the ratio of residential land price to housing price.The growth rate of GDP,fixed-assets investments and per capita disposable income of the urban households is larger than the land price growth rate.In 2014,the positive expectation for macro-economy,the improving affordable housing policy and the deep exploring of long-term regulation and control of real estate market will all be good to promoting the smooth running of city land market.The“People Oriented”urbanization guide is beneficial to improving harmonious development of the land market for different types of cities.The change of monetary liquidity and differentiation credit policy will affect the demand of investment in real estate market directly.The unified real estate registration policy and the expanding area of adopting Housing Property Tax will influence the expectation of real estate market,but is good to the long-term and steady development of the market.

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    作者简介
    中国土地勘测规划院全国城市地价动态监测组:
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