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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    网络舆情评估和预警量化指标体系构建

    摘要

    网络舆情对于我国突发公共事件的影响日渐放大,负面舆情集聚常常给社会发展带来不稳定因素,网络舆情安全的监管和预警成为政府和社会十分关注的问题。本文选取2010~2011年788起负面舆情事件的已抓取数据,以网络舆情预警机制为研究框架,设计了一套网络舆情评估和预警量化指标体系,并结合主观赋权法和客观赋权法计算指标权重。该指标体系经过了指标合理性检验和788起负面舆情事件评估检验,并通过嵌入数据实时抓取平台实现了舆情事件实时评估和预警。 <<
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    Abstract

    Internet public opinion has been exerting greater influence upon public emergencies in our country.The accumulation of negative public opinion often brings about instability to social development.The monitoring and the early-warning of internet opinion security have become issues of great concern to the government and the society.By studying the extracted data of 788 negative public opinion events from 2010 to 2011,based on the framework of internet public opinion early-warning framework,this paper designed a evaluation and quantitative indexing system for the assessment and the early-warning of internet public opinion;at the same time,it also combined the methods of subjective and objective weighting to calculate index weight.The index system was examined in terms of index plausibility and tested with 788 negative opinion cases;it also accomplished real-time assessment sand early-warnings of public opinion via the embedded capture platform of real-time data. <<
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    作者简介
    万旋傲:上海交通大学博士后。
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