得益于全球经济回暖带来的外需增长,以及欧元区的宏观经济刺激政策,2010年欧元区进入复苏阶段。受欧洲主权债务危机影响,2010年下半年欧元区的经济增长速度将低于上半年。2011年欧元区将继续保持复苏势头。但是,仍然有许多因素使欧元区的复苏进程蕴藏着不确定性。这些因素包括:欧洲主权债务危机扩散的风险依然存在;外需增长速度趋缓使欧元区出口带动复苏的作用下降;欧元区财政退出战略和财政紧缩政策将降低经济复苏的速度;欧元区高失业率对消费增长有抑制作用;欧元区内各成员国复苏进程的不平衡影响了欧元区整体经济复苏的稳定性。
<<The Euro area economy is in the process of recovery in 2010 due to global economic recovery and Euro Area’s stimulus monetary and fiscal policy. The recovery of Euro area will continue in 2011. However,some factors will increase the uncertainty of the Euro area’s recovery. The Europe debt crisis has not ended;the slowdown of the global demand will hamper the export;fiscal exit policy will reduce the growth rate;Unemployment rate is still high and private consumption may remain sluggish. The uneven recovery of the member countries will harm the stability of the Euro Area’s economic recovery.
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