2010年全球经济走出衰退并进入缓慢且不稳定的复苏期。经济复苏在不同经济体中显示出相当大的差异性,主要表现为发达国家复苏乏力,主要新兴经济体增长迅速。与之相伴的是发达国家通缩风险和主要新兴经济体通胀风险并存。国际金融稳定性得到改善但仍然面临诸多不确定性。国际贸易与投资实现复苏性增长但可持续性仍待观察。大宗商品价格基本恢复并大致稳定在危机前水平。全球治理在金融等领域正在取得一定进展。工业化国家债台高筑对全球复苏及长期稳定增长投下了阴影。“再平衡”问题愈发成为巩固复苏和实现长期增长的关键议题。2011年世界经济将继续维持缓慢且不平衡、不稳定增长的可能性较大。
<<In 2010,the world economy has stepped out of recession and entered a period of slow and unstable recovery. However,the economic recovery in the developed and developing economies shares little in common in terms of pace and strength,leading to the coexistence of the risks of deflation in the developed countries and inflation in the major emerging economies. The international financial stability has been improved but still faces many uncertainties,while the international trade and investment have shown recovery but the sustainability of growth is still in doubt. The prices of the primary commodities have largely recovered and stabilized at the pre-crisis level. The global governance in the financial field has been making progress. However,the heavy debt burden of the industrialized countries is casting shadow on the global recovery and long-term steady growth,and the “rebalancing” issue has become increasingly crucial for the consolidation of recovery. Therefore,the world economy is expected to continue its slow,unbalanced and unstable growth in 2011.
<<Keywords: | RecoveryDeflationRebalancing |