2022年,北京市房地产市场整体实现平稳发展,主要指标优于全国。在预售资金监管政策执行到位的作用下整体保交房压力相对较小。住房市场下半年出现回暖态势,库存规模处于合理水平。商办用房空置率有所回升。2023年预计在土地供应及相关保障措施到位的情况下房地产开发投资增速为1%~3%,但市场全面回暖有待观察。近期需重点关注土地出让压力、商业办公用房去库存和稳房价三方面压力。应根据市场形势变化适时微调政策,利用市场机制促进供需有效对接,完善多主体供给、多渠道保障、租购并举的住房制度。
<<In 2022,the real estate industry of Beijing had a steady development as a whole,and key indicators are better than those of the whole country. The pressure on housing delivery is relatively light attribute to the strictly implementation of the pre-sale capital supervision. The housing market showed a recovery in the second half of the year,and the stock is at a reasonable level. The vacancy rate of commercial real estate has rebounded. In 2023,the growth rate of real estate development investment can reach about 1%~3%,if land supply and relevant safeguard measures are in place,but the thorough recovery of the market is still uncertain. in the near future,we need to focus on the pressure of land transfer,de stocking of commercial real estate and house prices rise. It is suggested to adjust the policy slightly according to the change of market situation.
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