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谢伏瞻
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李培林
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    2022年《北爱尔兰议定书》争端与北爱尔兰地区治理的新发展

    摘要

    在后脱欧时代,围绕《北爱尔兰议定书》的争论加剧了该地区的治理困境,各方的不妥协态度造成的政治僵局比《议定书》本身的安排带来了更多的问题。保守党政府批评《议定书》导致北爱尔兰与英国其他地区之间产生贸易壁垒,在经济和政治上造成二者的分离,要求修改《议定书》。英欧在关键问题上互不相让,谈判未取得明显进展。苏纳克担任首相后,英国政府在议定书问题上的立场有所缓和。在北爱尔兰,民主统一党以修改《议定书》作为加入北爱尔兰地方政府的前提,权力共享政府因此停摆。此举导致北爱尔兰地方政府应对疫情冲击和生活成本危机的能力不足。在2022年地方选举中,爱尔兰民族主义政党新芬党首次取代民主统一党成为第一大党。结合民调结果可看出,目前的这一变化尚不足以说明爱尔兰统一的支持者已占据上风,但当地的爱尔兰民族主义已呈现上升的趋势。英国需采取更加务实的行动,以免政治不稳定的局面持续,带来更多的问题。

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    Abstract

    In the post-Brexit era,the dispute over Northern Ireland Protocol has led to a governance predicament,with the intransigence of the parties involved creating a political impasse that posed more problems than the very arrangements set out by the Protocol. The Conservative government criticised the Protocol for creating trade barriers between Great Britain and Northern Ireland,making the latter a separate part of the UK at the economic and political level,and attempted to rewrite it. There has not been substantive progress in the negotiations between the UK and the EU as both stood firm on key issues and refused to make concessions. And the UK did not soften its stance on the Protocol until Rishi Sunak took office. The Democratic Unionist Party(DUP)insisted significant changes to the Protocol be a precondition for its returning to the power-sharing institutions,which left the region in political limbo hindering the capability of the local government to deal effectively with challenges from the pandemic and the cost-of-living crisis. The nationalist party Sinn Fein Party,has beaten the DUP to become the biggest party in Northern Ireland’s Assembly for the first time. Although combined with opinion polls,the election result is not sufficient to declare that the nationalists are in the majority,it suggests that Irish nationalism is on the rise in this region. In this case,pragmatism is needed for the UK to prevent political instability from causing more problems.

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    作者简介
    徐梓红:徐梓红,北京外国语大学英语学院英国研究中心博士生,主要研究领域为英国政治。
    王展鹏:王展鹏,博士,北京外国语大学英语学院英国研究中心、爱尔兰研究中心教授,主要研究领域为英国政治与外交、爱尔兰研究、欧洲一体化。
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