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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2021~2022年英国经济形势

    摘要

    近一年来英国经济呈现一定的复苏迹象,部分宏观经济指标表现优于其他发达经济体,但也面临着通货膨胀、财政赤字等共性压力。英国经济深受通货膨胀影响,通胀率达到近40年来的最高水平,英格兰银行虽实施数次加息紧缩货币政策,但政策效果受到诸多不确定性因素的制约。当前扑朔迷离的英欧经贸关系、高企的通货膨胀和复杂的外部环境,导致英国制造业和金融服务业发展环境持续恶化,使贸易逆差持续扩大,对英国经济形成较大压力。未来,俄乌冲突、供应链中断、新冠肺炎疫情等制约因素共振,或将进一步拖累英国经济的复苏进程。

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    Abstract

    In the past year,the UK economy has shown some signs of recovery. Some macroeconomic indicators have outperformed other developed economies,but they are also facing common pressures such as inflation and fiscal deficit. The UK economy is seriously troubled by inflation,and the inflation rate has reached its highest level in nearly 40 years. Although the Bank of England has repeatedly increased interest rates and implemented tight monetary policy,the effect of the policy has been disturbed by many uncertain factors. The current complicated economic and trade relations between the UK and the EU,high inflation,and complex external environment have led to the continued deterioration of the development environment of the UK’s manufacturing and financial services industries,which has driven the trade deficit to continue to expand,putting a lot of pressure on the UK economy. In the future,the resonance of constraints,such as the Russian-Ukrainian conflict,supply chain disruption,and COVID-19,may further drag down the recovery process of the UK economy.

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    作者简介
    杨成玉:杨成玉,经济学博士,中国社会科学院欧洲研究所副研究员,研究方向为欧洲经济、中欧经贸关系。
    钟超:钟超,经济学博士,中国社会科学院欧洲研究所科研人员,研究方向为英国经济。
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