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谢伏瞻
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    2022~2023年吉林省经济社会形势分析与预测

    摘要

    2022年以来,吉林省新一轮疫情骤然加大经济下行压力,省委省政府落实中央政策要求制定出台“稳增长43条”“促进消费回补和潜力释放29条”“金融支持疫情防控和经济社会发展10条”等一系列政策措施,全面精准稳定经济发展,保障基本民生。1~9月份,政策效果逐步显现,稳的基础不断加固,新的动能正在累积,全省经济运行稳定恢复、持续向好。但经济发展环境的复杂性、严峻性、不确定性明显上升,“稳增长”仍面临诸多挑战。疫情防控政策优化调整背景下吉林省应进一步释放政策合力,不断挖掘消费潜力,优化投资结构,稳定产业链供应链,增强市场主体活力,推动吉林省经济高质量发展,增强国内大循环内生动力和可靠性。

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    Abstract

    A new round of epidemic outbreaks in Jilin Province has intensified the downward pressure on the economy in this year. The provincial Party Committee and provincial government formulated and promulgated series of policy measures in accordance with the the policy requirements of the central government,including “43 guidelines for making sure steady growth”“29 guidelines for promoting the recovery of consumption and the release of potential”“10 guidelines for financial support for preventing and controling epidemic and developing the economy and social”. The series of policy measures stabilize economic development and ensure basic people’s livelihood. The policy effect is gradually showing,the stable foundation has been strengthened,new driving force for growth is accumulating,the whole province’s economy is stability recovery continued to improve. However,“Steady growth” still faces many challenges because of the economic development environment becoming significantly more complex,severe and uncertain. Under the background of normal epidemic prevention and control,Jilin Province should further release the policy synergy,continuously tap the consumption potential,optimize the investment structure,stabilize the industrial chain and supply chain,enhance the vitality of market players,promote the high-quality development of Jilin Province’s economy,and enhance the internal power and reliability of the domestic big cycle.

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    作者简介
    张丽娜:张丽娜,吉林省社会科学院软科学开发研究所所长,研究员,管理学博士,研究方向为宏观经济学、产业经济学。
    徐卓顺:徐卓顺,吉林省社会科学院软科学开发研究所副所长,研究员,数量经济学博士,研究方向为数量经济、宏观经济。
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