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谢伏瞻
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    中欧关系:欧洲对中国机遇和挑战的认知和政策

    摘要

    2021年的中欧关系延续了新冠疫情暴发以来的低位发展态势,总体呈现合作与竞争并存的局面。欧盟对中欧关系的塑造,以不断巩固和夯实对华关系三个定位(伙伴、竞争者、对手)为特点。本报告以认知、决策和实践为分析逻辑,系统阐释欧盟对华政策的特点以及对中欧关系造成的影响。报告认为,欧盟对中国是机遇还是威胁的认知观已经发生变化,在视中国仍为发展机遇的同时,突出了中国在制度、价值观、高科技等多个领域对欧盟造成的威胁和挑战。在这种认知观的支配下,欧盟对华决策的讨论更加强调如何应对来自中国的“威胁”,日益强调如何防范中国,突出价值观导向和合作对等互惠,加强对欧盟自身利益的保护等。2021年的主要成果是重拾盟友外交,推动跨大西洋对华政策协调;奉行规则优先战略,加强在关键领域规则制高点的控制与争夺以及自我保护;寻求合作,在气候变化等全球治理领域寻找和扩大共识;推进印太战略,积极寻求有所作为等。2022年,由于俄乌冲突爆发,中欧关系中共识和分歧也再度出现。总体而言,中欧合作的韧性和张力仍在,但合作已经远离舒适区。 <<
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    Abstract

    China-EU relations in 2021 had been developing at a low level since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic,and presented a mixing picture of cooperation and competition. The EU’s shaping of China-EU relations is characterized by continuous consolidation of the triple identities (partner,competitor,rival) of China. This report applies perception,decision-making,and practice as the analytical logic to systematically interpret the characteristics of the EU’s policy on China and the impact on China-EU relations. It is argued that the EU’s perception of whether China is an opportunity or a threat has evolved:while viewing China as an opportunity for development,the EU is increasingly highlighting the threats and challenges China poses to it in multiple fields such as institutions,values,and high technology. Led by such views,the EU has put more emphasis on how to deal with Chinese threats and fend off China,highlighting the orientation of values and reciprocity in cooperation,and strengthening the protection of the EU’s own interests. The main outcome of the EU’s diplomacy in 2021 are to regain alliance diplomacy and promote transatlantic policy coordination towards China;uphold rule-first strategy,strengthen the control and competition for the commanding heights of rules and self-protection in key areas;seek cooperation and expand consensus on global challenges such as climate change;carry out the Indo-Pacific strategy,and strive to make something dome. Due to the outbreak of Russia and Ukraine conflict,the consensus and divergence on the crisis between China and Europe are rising. Overall,the resilience and tension of China-EU relations remain,but their relations are now far from the comfort zone.

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    作者简介
    刘作奎:刘作奎,历史学博士,博士生导师,中国社会科学院欧洲研究所副所长、研究员,主要研究领域为中东欧问题、中国—中东欧国家合作和中欧关系。本报告内容和具体框架由刘作奎搭建并具体执笔撰写,报告撰写过程中,黄萌萌、赵俊杰、杨迪(法国巴黎政治学院博士生)、贺之杲、张超、杨成玉、张磊提供了必要的参考材料,在此一并致谢。由于篇幅所限,本报告着重关注欧盟对中欧关系的塑造方面,而中方的政策则相对弱化。
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