2022年受到前期美元货币宽松政策影响,叠加俄乌冲突、极端天气及新冠疫情等不利因素,全球农产品价格大幅上涨,人类经历了二战以来最为严重的粮食危机。在此背景下,中国作为全球最大的农产品进口国,也经历了量减额增的过程,承担了额外增加的贸易成本。不仅如此,2022年中国农产品贸易逆差持续加大。展望2023年,随着美国量化宽松货币政策的持续退出,俄乌冲突的负面影响出尽,全球粮食供需格局将会有所缓解,全球农产品价格也将继续进入下行通道。
<<In 2022,affected by the previous U.S. dollar monetary easing policies,the adverse factors such as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine,extreme weather,and the Covid-19 pandemic,global agricultural product prices rose significantly,and mankind has experienced the most serious food crisis since World War II. In this context,as the world’s largest importer of agricultural products,China has also experienced a process of volume reduction and increase,bearing additional trade costs. Moreover,China’s trade deficit in agricultural products continued to increase in 2022. In 2023,with the continued withdrawal of the quantitative easing monetary policies of the United States and the negative impacts of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine,the global grain supply and demand pattern will be eased,and the global agricultural product prices will continue with a downward trend.
<<Keywords: | Agricultural Product PriceGrain Supply and DemandAgricultural Product TradeAgricultural Opening-up |