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李培林
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    2022年林业经济形势分析及2023年展望

    摘要

    2022年,林业投资规模略有增长,全国造林面积略微增加,林业总产值为8。04万亿元,较上年有所减少,国内木材产量有所减少。林产品进出口贸易额为1910亿美元,其中木质林产品占比为67。77%。木质林产品的进口以木浆、原木、锯材和纸制品等产品为主,木浆进口量减少但进口额增加,原木、锯材和印刷品进口均有所减少;出口以纸制品和木质家具为主,纸制品出口增加,木质家具出口减少。林产品市场进一步萎缩,分化状态较为明显。2023年,造林面积将有小幅度下降,林业第三产业比重进一步提高。林产品进出口贸易进一步增加,林产品出口形势继续好转。国内林产品市场复苏加快,木制品价格将趋于稳定。

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    Abstract

    In 2022,China’s forestry investment scale increased slightly,with a slight increase in the nationwide afforested area. The total forestry output value was 8.04 trillion Yuan,a decrease compared with the previous year,and the domestic timber production decreased. The trade value of forest products was 191 billion U.S. dollars,of which wood forest products accounted for 67.77 percent. The main imported forest products were wood pulp,logs,sawn timber and paper products. The volume of imports of wood pulp decreased but its import value increased. The imports of logs,sawn timber and paper products all decreased. The main exported forest products were paper products and wooden furniture. The exports of paper products increased while the exports of wooden furniture decreased. The domestic market of forest products has further shrunk,with an obvious state of market differentiation. In 2023,China’s afforestation area will decrease slightly,and the proportion of the forestry tertiary industry will further increase. The import and export trade of forest products will further increase,and the export situation of forest products will improve further. The recovery of the domestic forest products market will accelerate,and the prices for wood products will tend to stabilize.

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    作者简介
    赵海兰:赵海兰,管理学博士,国家林业和草原局发展研究中心副研究员,中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所博士后,主要研究领域包括林业生态价值及碳汇、林业发展战略规划及林业经济理论与政策。
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