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谢伏瞻
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李培林
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    2021年太平洋岛国地区总体形势评析

    摘要

    2021年,太平洋岛国地区政治形势总体稳定。各国继续重点关注抗击新冠肺炎疫情、复苏经济、应对气候变化等非传统安全领域。囿于经济结构过于单一和长期位于世界经济体系边缘的不利境地,各岛国经济复苏举步维艰。太平洋各岛国政府继续推动“蓝色太平洋计划”,加速实施“向北看”政策,加强与包括中国在内的亚洲国家的经贸互利合作,以此带动岛国经济复苏。太平洋岛国地区的政治团结,特别是在应对全球气候变化上趋于“用一个声音说话”的发展态势引起美国、澳大利亚的不安和猜忌。为了实现“分而治之”的目的,美国、澳大利亚加紧对太平洋岛国中“合作对象国”的分化和拉拢,从而影响了该地区一体化进程发展。

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    Abstract

    The Pacific Islands countries had generally remained a political stability throughout 2021 and continued to shift their focus to non-traditional challenges,such as the COVID-19 pandemic,economic recovery and the climate change. The Pacific Islands countries as a whole had experienced difficulty in promoting economic recovery due to their imbalanced economic structure and marginalized position in the global economic system. The Islands countries had continued to advance their “Blue Pacific” program on the one hand,and on the other,to enhance their economic cooperation with Asian countries,including China,by pursuing the “Look North” strategy for economic recovery. The political unity among the PICs,and particularly their “one voice” about the climate change in the international community,caused misgivings among the former colonial powers. They thereby worked together to divide the PICs by compelling some PICs to retreat from the Pacific Islands Forum,which led the regional efforts in seeking political and economic integration to a setback.

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    作者简介
    于镭:于镭,博士,聊城大学太平洋岛国研究中心首席研究员、教授,北京外国语大学客座教授,主要研究领域为太平洋岛国与区域内外大国关系、美澳同盟等。
    于飞洋:于飞洋,北京建筑大学文法学院硕士研究生,研究方向为文化交流。
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