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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    中国半导体行业发展现状和投资机遇

    摘要

    半导体是信息产业的基石,对国家经济社会发展与科技进步具有重要意义。当下全球半导体产业正在经历新一轮迁移,中国凭借庞大的终端消费市场、完备的制造业产业链、优厚的产业扶持政策,拥有承接半导体产业迁移的良好基础。在美国持续加大对华制裁力度的背景下,实现半导体核心科技自立自强和供应链自主可控,是国家参与全球科技和高端产业竞争的重要保障。回顾2022年,半导体供需结构在下游市场低迷的影响下发生扭转,行业进入下行周期,资本市场大幅回调。展望2023年,投资机遇将沿着三条具备可观增量市场的主线展开,即“卡脖子”领域国产替代、汽车及新能源芯片维持高景气度、创新技术为国内厂商提供“弯道超车”的机遇。

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    Abstract

    Semiconductor is the cornerstone of information technology industry,and is of great significance to national economic development and technological progress. At present,the global semiconductor industry has been going through a renewed industrial migration. China has a solid foundation to undertake the migration of the semiconductor industry with its massive consuming market,complete manufacturing industry chain,and beneficial industrial supporting policies. In the context of the increasing sanctions against China’s high-tech industry by the United States,achieving independence and self-controllability of semiconductor core technology and supply chain is an important guarantee for the country to participate in the global competition in technology and high-end industries. In 2022,we saw the structure of global semiconductor supply and demand reversed under the impact of the dim end market,along with the downward of the industrial cycle and the capital market plunge. We expect 3 themes to the 2023 investment outlook involving domestic substitution in core areas of semiconductor industry,high growth sectors such as automobile and clean energy chips,and innovative technologies enabling domestic manufacturers to surpass the formers.

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    作者简介
    胡远东:胡远东,现供职于中国建投直接投资部,主要研究方向为新材料、新能源、半导体。
    魏中:魏中,现供职于中国建投直接投资部,主要研究方向为半导体、氢能。
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