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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2021~2022年长三角地区经济发展分析与展望

    摘要

    受新冠肺炎疫情和国际复杂形势影响,中国经济在2020年初遭受重大冲击,长三角地区经济也面临巨大挑战,但随着疫情防控形势向好,2020年下半年,经济指标由负转正,经济发展呈现向好之势。进入2021年,中国经济持续复苏,全年经济增长8。1%,而长三角地区作为我国经济发展最活跃、开放程度最高、创新能力最强的区域之一,在推动中国经济高质量发展中发挥着至关重要的作用。总体来看,在长三角一体化、“双循环”国家战略的引领下,2021年长三角地区经济平稳增长,并保持全国领先;地区经济总量稳步上升,对全国经济的贡献度保持基本稳定;地区综合发展水平居全国前列。长三角地区经济结构不断优化,协同能力逐步增强,发展质量持续提升,充分体现了我国经济韧性强、长期向好的基本面。

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    Abstract

    Affected by the Covid-19 and the complicated international situation,China’s economy suffered a major impact in the beginning of 2020. The economy of the Yangtze River Delta region also faced great challenges. As the epidemic was basically under control in China,in the second half of 2020,the economic indicators turned from negative to positive,and the economy showed a positive trend. As the 2021 Central Economic Work Conference pointed out,the year 2021 will be a milestone in the history of and the country. Our country realized a good start of the “14th five-year plan” and keep a global leader in economic development and epidemic control. National strategic scientific and technological force became stronger. The industrial chain has become more resilient. The reform and opening up policy continued to advance. The construction of ecological civilization has been continuously promoted in the past year. While fully affirming the achievements,wo must notice the triple pressure we are facing. Aggregate demand in the economy is contracting. The aggregate supply of the economy is being buffeted by a complex situation. Expectations for the economy are skewed towards weakness. Overall,the economy of the Yangtze River Delta region has been growing steadily in 2021,and has been keeping leading in the whole country. The economic aggregate of the Yangtze River Delta region grew steadily and its share in the national economy remained unchanged. It has made new achievements in high-quality development and increased its economic vitality. From the perspective of driving force of economic development,Progress has also been made in the Yangtze River Delta. Investment,import and export,and consumption,the troika of economic growth in the Yangtze River Delta,all recovered steadily. After suffering from the impact caused by the sudden outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020,the economic momentum in the Yangtze River Delta returned to high speed in 2021. The investment structure in this region has been continuously optimized. The added value of export products increased further. The consumption structure has been keeping improving,and online consumption has been growing steadily.

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    作者简介
    陈文章:陈文章,上海社会科学院应用经济研究所,主要研究方向为劳动力结构与区域发展。
    王振:王振,研究员,博士生导师,上海社会科学院副院长,长三角与长江经济带研究中心常务副主任。
    杨凡:杨凡,博士,上海社会科学院信息研究所长江经济带研究室助理研究员,主要研究方向为科技创新与区域发展。
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