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    京津冀协同发展效果评估研究

    摘要

    报告首先梳理了京津冀协同发展的现状及问题,然后借助耦合协同度模型测度协同发展程度,发现京津冀协同发展政策的协同度尚处于初级协调阶段,交通一体化政策的协同度最高,金融政策协同度最低,且每两个地区间的协同度状况表现出差异性。京津冀协同发展为家庭带来的经济效果显著,不仅能降低家庭经济风险,而且能缩小家庭经济风险差距。同时发现,京津冀协同发展的辐射力度较小,仅能显著降低核心功能区和部分环京地区的家庭经济风险。以上研究结论为京津冀协同发展补短板提出政策改进依据:强化政策协同,促进金融业协同发展;优化空间布局,提高辐射带动作用;推动产业升级与转移,共建产业集群、依托科技创新和数字经济,缩小区域经济发展差距;推进基本公共服务共建共享,缩小家庭成本差距。

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    Abstract

    This paper first combs the current situation and problems of the coordinated development of Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei,and then measures the degree of coordinated development by using the coupled degree of coordination model. It is found that the degree of coordination of the coordinated development policies of Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei is still in the primary coordination stage,the degree of coordination of the transportation integration policy is the highest while the degree of coordination of the financial policy is the lowest,and the degree of coordination between the two regions shows differences. The coordinated development of Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei has brought remarkable economic effects to families,which can not only reduce the economic risks of families,but also narrow the gap of economic risks of families. At the same time,it is found that the radiation of the coordinated development of Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei is small,which can only significantly reduce the family economic risks in the core functional areas and some areas around Beijing. Our research conclusions provide the basis for policy improvement for the coordinated development of Beijing,Tianjin and Hebei. Strengthening policy coordination and promoting coordinated development of the financial sector;optimizing spatial distribution and increasing the role of radiation in driving growth;promoting industrial upgrading and relocation and building industrial clusters and relying on scientific and technological innovation and the digital economy;narrowing the gap in regional economic development;promoting the joint construction and sharing of basic public services,and narrowing the gap in household costs.

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    作者简介
    张冀:张冀,金融学博士,对外经济贸易大学保险学院金融学教授、博士生导师,主要研究方向为金融风险管理。
    史晓:史晓,河北工业大学经管学院讲师,对外经济贸易大学金融学博士研究生,主要研究方向为金融风险管理。
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