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    河南省中长期电力供应保障研究与建议

    摘要

    党中央、国务院高度重视能源电力保供工作,习近平总书记明确提出“能源的饭碗必须端在自己手里”。2022年,受历史罕见极端高温影响,全国电力供需形势全面趋紧,多个省份出现供电紧张局面。在能源电力低碳转型背景下,今后一段时期全国及河南电力供应保障形势依然严峻,前瞻性开展中长期电力保障研究,问计能源保供的“长远之策”,对于保障河南能源安全、服务“两个确保”目标实现具有重要意义。本文按照“分析形势、明确任务、制定措施”的研究思路,研判了全球能源电力供应新格局,分析了河南电力保供新形势,测算了全省中长期电力需求,突出“常规电源保供应,新能源调结构”理念,坚持“先立后破、系统谋划、协同发力”,围绕供应、系统、消费、机制四个方面,提出了河南中长期电力保供的对策建议,以期为服务全省经济社会高质量发展提供坚强电力保障。

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    Abstract

    The Party Central Committee and the State Council attach great importance to the work of energy and electricity security,and General Secretary Xi Jinping clearly proposed that “the rice bowl of energy security must be in our own hands”. 2022,affected by the rare extreme heat in history,the national power supply and demand situation tightened across the board,with many provinces and regions experiencing power supply tension. Under the background of low-carbon transformation of energy and electricity,the national and Henan power supply security situation in the coming period is still severe,forward-looking research on medium- and long-term power security,ask the “long-term policy” of energy security,for the protection of Henan energy security,service “two ensure” goal to achieve is of great significance. This paper,in accordance with the research idea of “analyzing the situation,clarifying the task and formulating measures”,examines the new pattern of global energy and electricity supply,analyzes the new situation of Henan’s electricity supply,calculates the province’s medium- and long-term electricity demand,highlights the “conventional power supply to ensure supply,new energy to adjust the structure” concept,adhere to the “first after the break,system planning,synergy,” around the supply,system,consumption,mechanism four aspects,put forward the medium and long-term power supply in Henan countermeasures and recommendations,with a view to serving the province’s economic and social quality development to provide strong power security.

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    作者简介
    邓振立:邓振立,工学硕士,国网河南省电力公司经济技术研究院工程师,研究方向为能源电力供需与市场分析。
    李虎军:李虎军,工学硕士,国网河南省电力公司经济技术研究院高级工程师,研究方向为能源电力规划与供需分析。
    田春笋:田春笋,工学硕士,国网河南省电力公司电力科学技术研究院工程师,研究方向为电力系统分析。
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